A Quick Note on Forecasts

This is the blog I meant to write last night before I got distracted and went to bed.

It's not much of a blog, just a "Here's what I was looking at yesterday." But I think that's a good place for this to go sometimes. That's largely what Marginal Revolution is, Tyler Cowen's blog that was at least some small part of my inspiration.

So yesterday I was talking to my friend Aaron about COVID-19 models, and I wanted to highlight the two top dogs in forecasting right now for any that haven't heard of them.

In my opinion, two of the undeniable giants here are Nate Silver and Phil Tetlock. So, without further ado, here's a link to an article by Zach Weinersmith, Maggie Koerth, Laura Bronner and Jasmine Minthani from Nate Silver's website Fivethirtyeight all about statistics and predictions. Enjoy if you've got the time.